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This is the research diary of researcher Lisbeth Klastrup, since february 2001 sharing her thoughts on life, universe, persistent online worlds, games, interactive stories and internet oddities with you on the www.

I am currently on leave from the IT University of Copenhagen, and from aug. 2006 - aug. 2007 working as Associate Research Professor at the Center for Design Research Copenhagen, an independant center situated at the School of Architecture. During this year, I will be working on a book about the development of aesthetics, design and interaction on the WWW, together with colleague Ida Engholm.

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16.4.07
In the media about blogs & hence some blog numbers 
I've been interviewed for articles in newspapers quite a lot lately and what goes around comes around it seems. Today, for instance, I'm quoted in a larger article in Berlingske Tidende about the potential demise of the boom of blogs: Bloggerkulturen når snart mætningspunktet. - The article then made TV2 Radio call me, so I might be doing an "on air" interview with them later today, around 17.35. So I thought, I'd better check up on numbers.

The article quotes predictions by the research company Gartner which claims that the number of blogs are about to drop soon - they estimate that the world now holds more than 200 mill ex-bloggers. It doesnt link to the source though. Apparently the numbers are hidden somewhere within the site of Gartner's - they are included in the annual prediction of IT trends of the coming year and it looks like you have to be be a paying customer to get access to the real thing, but they did post a summary of 2007 predictions. Eweek has a nice run-through of the predictions (though personally biassed).

Informationweek had an article in December 2006 about the Gartner predictions, making interesting comparisons with Technorati. BBC also published a story online then, but didnt provide a direct link to the numbers either.

A related interesting finding, of april this year (?), by another commercial research institute is that apparently rich people (in the US) blog more - but only 9% of the general American population maintain a blog of their own (based on survey of 1000 users). This report is available online.

If you want to get an idea of the number of Danes that blog, overskrift.dk is the best place to find information. The site, according to their own statistics, currently tracks more than 40.000 Danish blogs - this is equivalent to roughly 0.8% af the Danish population being bloggers.

Technorati's State of the Blogosphere is as always openly available on their blog. In their October 2006 overview, they estimated that 55% of the blogs (they track?) are active. About 100.000 new blogs were still being created every day. They have recently (april 5th 07) published a new report on the blog - according to that, 120.000 new blogs are now being created every day but the growth rate is slowing down (slow growth is partly? mainly? due to a better way of filtering out splogs - spamblogs), however the number of blogs are still on the rise (Technorate now tracks more than 70 mill). Also posting numbers are not growing explosively, but still 17 new posts are published every second. For those interested, all of the Technorate reports on the state of the blogosphere are available on Sifry's site , he's the guy that writes the reports.

Labels:



Comments:
Just to follow up on the Danish numbers: at Overskrift.dk we see the almost exact same number: 55% as active, which has been stable for some time.

Unlike Technorati though, we see no slowing down in the number of new Danish blogs created: currently around 1.000 new blogs every week and rising. Perhaps it just shows that Denmark is behind - time-wise - the global (mainly US) blogosphere?

Yes, I know, I should be doing a Danish state-of-the-blogosphere soon ....
 
Stefan, thanks for chiming in. It's interesting that you see the same rate of activity/non-activity on the blogs as in the States. It is also interesting that Denmark does indeed seem to be trailing behind in terms of slow-down in growth rate - it seems to be the general tendency that we fall behind the states when it comes to web adoption patterns. However I am starting to sense a general "blog-fatigue" when I talk to people within the field. But that doesnt necessarily mean that people who have not been working with online communication for a while stops testing blogs :). Having looked more closely at the figures, I should probably have told the journalist that there is a difference between international numbers and the Danish scene. WHat do you think? Will we see a slowdown in number of blogs being created in late 2007, 2008?
 
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Buy our book

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Conferences
ACE 2007
Mobile Media 2007
MobileCHI 07
Perth DAC 2007
DIGRA 2007
AOIR 8.0/2007

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My Ph.D. thesis website:
Towards a Poetics of Virtual Worlds


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Misc
I also used to host & work in a world called StoryMOO.